Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -20000 PEPP +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +25 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -27.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -21.8 (+3.2) | 165.4 (-0.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -21.2 (+3.8) | 163.8 (+1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -24.6 (+0.4) | 167.8 (-2.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -24.0 (+1.0) | 164.4 (+0.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | GONZ 84 – 60 PEPP |
| Dec 29, 2025 | GONZ 96 – 56 PEPP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | GONZ 107 – 55 PEPP |
| Dec 31, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 82 PEPP |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 61 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 7-6 |
| Home | 12-0 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-0 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 21.8 (#2) | -3.0 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.21 (#1) | -0.69 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.33 (#1) | -0.68 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.687 (#2) | 0.468 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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