Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | USC -1200 WASH +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +27 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | USC -22.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -17.7 (+9.3) | 143.2 (+19.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -16.7 (+10.3) | 146.5 (+16.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -19.4 (+7.6) | 144.1 (+18.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -19.2 (+7.8) | 143.2 (+19.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | WASH 83 – 79 USC |
| Mar 5, 2026 | WASH 91 – 72 USC |
| Dec 6, 2025 | WASH 84 – 76 USC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USC 92 – 61 WASH |
| Dec 7, 2024 | USC 85 – 61 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 5-21 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-2 | 4-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#14) | -3.5 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#25) | -1.87 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.10 (#22) | -1.83 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.630 (#18) | 0.429 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.