In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–11 on winners spread MAE 10.3 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Michigan State +7.6 142.9 79% 60–81 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville +5.4 151.7 76% 79–70 ✗
Boston College @ Clemson +15.0 133.9 87% 50–74 ✓
Texas A&M @ Tennessee +6.9 158.9 74% 82–87 ✓
UIC @ Northern Iowa +8.5 130.0 79% 69–61 ✗
George Mason @ Loyola Chicago -13.0 139.8 14% 82–74 ✓
Dayton @ Duquesne -3.5 153.3 31% 71–65 ✓
Wisconsin @ Minnesota -0.2 139.5 48% 78–75 ✓
Miami @ Notre Dame -0.9 141.4 46% 81–69 ✓
Massachusetts @ Western Michigan -0.3 154.1 48% 85–82 ✓
Ohio @ Toledo +2.9 154.0 65% 85–101 ✓
Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) +17.6 152.5 90% 61–100 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +21.9 150.6 90% 77–87 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +11.9 144.6 85% 74–78 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall -2.7 131.1 40% 69–64 ✓
Bradley @ Evansville -6.4 140.6 29% 94–90 ✓
West Virginia @ Houston +11.6 131.7 85% 48–77 ✓
Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +7.6 131.5 80% 55–57 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas -2.6 146.8 33% 63–84 ✗
Oregon @ Nebraska +13.4 142.4 87% 55–90 ✓
Alabama @ Mississippi State -6.2 169.3 26% 97–82 ✓
Florida @ Oklahoma -4.1 152.9 36% 96–79 ✓
Colorado State @ Fresno State -3.4 134.1 40% 69–79 ✗
Baylor @ Oklahoma State +3.7 163.1 65% 94–79 ✗
Grand Canyon @ New Mexico +8.1 139.2 80% 64–87 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +11.5 147.0 84% 83–86 ✓
Florida State @ Syracuse +9.3 153.3 82% 86–94 ✓
Air Force @ San José State +9.9 131.0 82% 62–70 ✓
Maryland @ USC +12.0 148.6 85% 71–88 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco -3.9 139.4 37% 82–68 ✓
Boise State @ UNLV -4.6 146.1 31% 85–89 ✗
VCU @ Rhode Island -4.1 139.1 34% 84–75 ✓
Army @ Holy Cross +4.0 138.5 68% 75–82 ✓
Lehigh @ Boston University +6.2 145.4 68% 93–91 ✗
Chattanooga @ Wofford +7.8 147.6 79% 76–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina -9.0 145.8 21% 68–72 ✗
Iowa @ Purdue +11.3 139.4 78% 72–79 ✓
High Point @ Winthrop -5.1 160.5 31% 75–92 ✗
Butler @ Xavier -3.5 157.5 40% 75–89 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.