We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–7 on winners spread MAE 7.9 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Delaware State @ Howard +8.4 126.2 83% 58–84 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama State +7.7 150.1 82% 66–81 ✓
Grambling @ Florida A&M -3.1 140.5 39% 84–91 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +2.8 159.5 72% 61–73 ✓
Southern @ Bethune-Cookman +4.4 157.6 71% 77–73 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +4.0 128.8 59% 74–70 ✗
South Carolina State @ Coppin State -0.7 139.9 50% 74–72 ✓
Houston Christian @ Lamar +5.3 131.2 72% 56–64 ✓
Navy @ American University -0.9 138.7 48% 51–65 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin +11.1 136.8 84% 46–56 ✓
New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +0.3 137.9 48% 79–76 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northwestern State -2.5 141.2 41% 63–64 ✗
Nicholls @ McNeese +12.2 146.7 86% 68–94 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -4.0 137.1 34% 61–50 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern +9.9 144.0 79% 51–84 ✓
Jackson State @ Alabama A&M +9.3 138.3 85% 91–100 ✓
Villanova @ Providence -3.7 153.7 28% 88–82 ✓
Marquette @ St. John's +17.5 154.2 90% 68–92 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan +10.8 134.5 84% 59–77 ✓
Kent State @ Buffalo +4.5 159.5 72% 87–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.