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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 7.6 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian -0.7 137.4 52% 78–84 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M +3.3 142.5 72% 60–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +8.5 139.7 80% 63–67 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +8.6 155.4 81% 69–72 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +5.3 133.7 66% 72–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Sam Houston +3.8 147.6 67% 61–69 ✓
Georgetown @ DePaul -0.9 134.2 49% 63–56 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +4.6 140.3 72% 62–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida Atlantic +3.4 142.1 62% 59–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +6.6 146.9 78% 74–86 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +4.5 155.7 73% 88–95 ✓
San José State @ Boise State +16.3 142.4 89% 84–74 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -2.1 143.2 41% 73–79 ✗
Idaho @ Montana -1.0 145.5 44% 77–66 ✓
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH) +9.2 159.5 84% 87–83 ✗
George Washington @ Fordham -5.2 136.2 31% 66–62 ✓
NC State @ Virginia +5.2 147.8 76% 74–81 ✓
Providence @ St. John's +14.0 159.4 87% 72–85 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +0.8 136.4 49% 69–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech -1.3 140.2 42% 75–53 ✓
Kentucky @ Missouri -3.7 147.8 33% 78–72 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +2.0 144.2 60% 76–77 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern +0.5 142.0 56% 85–74 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ George Mason +4.2 138.9 64% 63–57 ✗
Washington @ Wisconsin +6.1 153.5 73% 82–85 ✓
Louisville @ Miami -2.9 152.0 44% 73–78 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall +1.5 132.7 52% 61–72 ✓
UCF @ Arizona +12.7 160.3 88% 59–81 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +10.6 156.5 83% 60–80 ✓
Auburn @ Tennessee +4.9 145.4 70% 62–72 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron +16.2 154.6 88% 70–73 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne -0.2 136.1 54% 61–67 ✗
Nevada @ Grand Canyon +0.7 138.9 62% 84–80 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +7.1 140.7 82% 88–82 ✗
Ohio @ Kent State +4.6 161.4 76% 75–86 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech -2.2 134.3 42% 69–80 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +11.8 138.3 83% 68–81 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +17.0 150.8 90% 79–80 ✓
BYU @ Houston +5.5 142.1 74% 66–73 ✓
Xavier @ UConn +14.6 146.3 87% 68–93 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia +10.8 161.1 82% 76–72 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +1.6 142.2 61% 60–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +9.0 131.9 82% 59–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.