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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–14 on winners spread MAE 10.0 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Grambling @ Jackson State -4.7 137.9 31% 65–68 ✗
Siena @ Merrimack +1.7 127.9 59% 64–54 ✗
Montana @ Portland State +2.7 142.7 69% 75–72 ✗
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +8.5 147.4 83% 68–79 ✓
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State -0.9 138.0 51% 68–63 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ McNeese +10.2 137.1 80% 80–84 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Colorado -0.3 162.5 49% 92–83 ✓
Idaho @ Eastern Washington -0.2 144.7 46% 81–68 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ La Salle -3.5 141.2 33% 99–80 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +11.0 131.9 84% 64–75 ✓
Pittsburgh @ NC State +7.4 141.4 74% 88–98 ✓
Arizona State @ Iowa State +12.2 144.0 87% 42–91 ✓
LSU @ Kentucky +7.8 152.6 80% 82–87 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +4.8 151.4 73% 71–67 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Richmond +7.2 138.9 78% 75–67 ✗
USC @ Washington +3.1 150.3 67% 79–83 ✓
SMU @ Louisville +6.1 160.4 75% 58–62 ✓
Wyoming @ UNLV -1.1 149.3 45% 70–73 ✗
Mississippi State @ Auburn +8.6 158.9 82% 61–79 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +0.2 144.9 51% 65–66 ✓
Providence @ Butler +0.2 161.7 54% 91–81 ✗
McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin -2.2 133.9 34% 76–59 ✓
Air Force @ Nevada +18.0 138.0 90% 45–80 ✓
Delaware State @ Morgan State +3.3 132.8 71% 75–70 ✗
Xavier @ Marquette +2.4 147.3 64% 89–87 ✗
Missouri State @ Liberty +8.2 140.9 78% 77–69 ✗
Northwestern @ Indiana +5.0 137.8 64% 74–61 ✗
Ole Miss @ Texas +8.5 151.7 80% 76–66 ✗
Boston University @ Lehigh -0.3 143.4 55% 60–74 ✗
Tulane @ Memphis +6.3 147.7 80% 81–69 ✗
California @ Florida State +2.1 149.9 60% 89–95 ✓
BYU @ West Virginia -3.0 140.1 43% 68–48 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.