Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -245 MOST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +8 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -5.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -8.2 (-16.2) | 140.9 (+5.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -6.5 (-14.5) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -6.1 (-14.1) | 143.1 (+2.9) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.5 (-14.5) | 142.8 (+3.2) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LIB 79 – 76 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#121) | -2.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#76) | -0.67 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#90) | -0.58 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#41) | 0.478 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 27.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 18.6% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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