Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -245 MISS +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -6.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -7.1 (-17.1) | 150.5 (-8.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -6.6 (-16.6) | 149.2 (-7.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -8.2 (-18.2) | 149.6 (-7.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -6.5 (-16.5) | 151.0 (-9.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TEX 79 – 68 MISS |
| Jan 30, 2025 | MISS 72 – 69 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#41) | 7.2 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#44) | 0.66 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#35) | 0.98 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#87) | 0.495 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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