← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
23–13 on winners
spread MAE 7.3
36 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+4.5 | 154.3 | 76% | 81–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.9 | 138.9 | 77% | 63–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 157.3 | 60% | 96–87 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.5 | 141.0 | 62% | 62–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.4 | 147.9 | 38% | 70–80 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.5 | 142.1 | 82% | 59–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 128.5 | 53% | 76–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.8 | 137.4 | 66% | 80–79 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.8 | 141.2 | 82% | 78–64 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.3 | 135.1 | 51% | 70–74 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.2 | 145.1 | 67% | 73–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.6 | 164.4 | 59% | 83–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.1 | 137.3 | 57% | 74–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.7 | 153.3 | 47% | 70–82 | ✗ |
|
|
+16.9 | 144.8 | 88% | 77–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.2 | 154.6 | 81% | 81–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.1 | 157.3 | 87% | 67–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.7 | 135.2 | 61% | 66–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.4 | 155.9 | 82% | 63–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.5 | 144.2 | 75% | 83–78 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.2 | 146.8 | 60% | 74–55 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.8 | 142.1 | 72% | 63–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.6 | 162.7 | 76% | 91–88 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.3 | 157.2 | 65% | 79–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.9 | 139.8 | 76% | 84–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.4 | 149.2 | 52% | 68–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.2 | 151.8 | 63% | 67–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.0 | 150.6 | 87% | 66–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.1 | 135.8 | 86% | 68–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.4 | 144.0 | 89% | 61–78 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.4 | 140.5 | 50% | 74–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.4 | 144.0 | 69% | 80–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.9 | 142.9 | 69% | 62–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.1 | 170.1 | 82% | 80–79 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.9 | 160.6 | 79% | 68–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 131.0 | 53% | 58–70 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.