Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
UCLA Bruins
72 59
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Ten
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Big Ten Conference · United Center (Neutral) · March 13, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -10.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money UCLA -675 / RUTG +490
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +13 131 Won
Massey UCLA -12.1 (+0.9)
Massey Totals 145.1 (-14.1)
Bradley-Terry 85%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML UCLA -11.5 (+1.5) 142.1 (-11.1) 82%
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -11.4 (+1.6) 140.9 (-9.9) 86%
Baseline ML UCLA -11.8 (+1.2) 142.6 (-11.6) 85%
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -12.3 (+0.7) 143.0 (-12.0) 84%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 4, 2026 UCLA 9866 RUTG
Jan 13, 2025 RUTG 7568 UCLA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA RUTG
Overall 24-12 14-20
Conference 13-7 6-14
Home 17-1 10-7
Away 4-6 2-9
Neutral 3-5 2-4
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 77.1 70.5
Avg Pts Against 71.1 75.3
Massey 14.7 (#35) 2.6 (#126)
Bradley-Terry 2.53 (#31) 0.81 (#101)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.16 (#34) 0.94 (#107)
RPI 0.585 (#37) 0.505 (#166)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA RUTG
FG% 47.2% 42.0%
3PT% 38.2% 32.8%
REB / G 32.5 32.8
OREB / G 10.1 10.8
AST / TO 1.79 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 47.7%
TOV% 13.5% 14.9%
ORB% 31.3% 30.1%
FT Rate 25.4% 27.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 17.2%
DRB% 67.9% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 26.5% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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