Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG +165 UCLA -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -5.8 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -4.8 (+11.8) | 141.2 (+1.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.4 (+10.4) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -4.3 (+11.3) | 141.3 (+1.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -3.7 (+10.7) | 142.9 (+0.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UCLA 72 – 59 RUTG |
| Feb 4, 2026 | UCLA 98 – 66 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#89) | 15.2 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#105) | 2.31 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#94) | 2.83 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#92) | 0.576 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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