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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
23–6 on winners
spread MAE 7.6
29 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgetown
@
UConn
|
+12.3 | 138.4 | 86% | 51–67 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Florida A&M
|
-2.1 | 141.0 | 48% | 73–70 | ✓ |
UCLA
@
Michigan State
|
+6.9 | 136.8 | 74% | 88–84 | ✗ |
UT Arlington
@
Utah Valley
|
+7.8 | 130.4 | 77% | 65–67 | ✓ |
Cal State Northridge
@
UC Irvine
|
+5.0 | 149.7 | 65% | 78–93 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
North Carolina Central
|
+2.9 | 129.1 | 66% | 53–59 | ✓ |
Nevada
@
Utah State
|
+6.0 | 143.1 | 72% | 66–79 | ✓ |
Clemson
@
Duke
|
+13.6 | 135.9 | 87% | 61–73 | ✓ |
Kansas
@
Houston
|
+6.5 | 133.4 | 77% | 47–69 | ✓ |
Oklahoma
@
Arkansas
|
+7.1 | 166.1 | 66% | 79–82 | ✓ |
Utah Tech
@
California Baptist
|
+6.3 | 139.2 | 75% | 72–86 | ✓ |
Cal State Fullerton
@
Hawai'i
|
+4.8 | 153.7 | 73% | 63–78 | ✓ |
New Mexico
@
San Diego State
|
+0.5 | 147.3 | 52% | 62–64 | ✓ |
Cornell
@
Yale
|
+9.0 | 154.0 | 78% | 76–88 | ✓ |
Vermont
@
UMBC
|
+2.9 | 134.6 | 59% | 59–74 | ✓ |
Wisconsin
@
Michigan
|
+12.4 | 163.7 | 83% | 65–68 | ✓ |
Vanderbilt
@
Florida
|
+5.9 | 161.7 | 75% | 91–74 | ✗ |
Dayton
@
Saint Louis
|
+6.5 | 143.3 | 79% | 70–69 | ✗ |
North Carolina Central
@
Howard
|
+14.2 | 141.2 | 87% | 63–70 | ✓ |
Pennsylvania
@
Harvard
|
+0.8 | 132.7 | 49% | 62–60 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
South Florida
|
+12.4 | 153.6 | 85% | 64–86 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Arkansas
|
+10.1 | 160.9 | 78% | 90–93 | ✓ |
Purdue
@
UCLA
|
-3.0 | 140.5 | 31% | 73–66 | ✓ |
Saint Joseph's
@
VCU
|
+9.0 | 142.4 | 82% | 64–77 | ✓ |
Tulsa
@
Wichita State
|
-0.6 | 149.2 | 48% | 68–81 | ✗ |
|
San Diego State
@
Utah State
|
+3.6 | 146.4 | 70% | 62–73 | ✓ |
Houston
@
Arizona
|
+5.2 | 138.9 | 64% | 74–79 | ✓ |
UConn
@
St. John's
|
+2.1 | 137.2 | 66% | 52–72 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Southern
|
+3.4 | 153.8 | 67% | 72–66 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.