Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA +270 PUR -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -7.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -4.6 (-2.4) | 143.6 (-4.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -5.4 (-1.6) | 140.4 (-1.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -4.9 (-2.1) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -4.8 (-2.2) | 144.5 (-5.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | UCLA 69 – 67 PUR |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PUR 76 – 66 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 30-9 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-7 |
| Home | 17-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#34) | 21.7 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#31) | 3.31 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#33) | 4.29 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#36) | 0.615 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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