Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | OU -360 SC +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | OU -6.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -6.6 (+5.4) | 146.9 (+13.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -7.5 (+4.5) | 146.1 (+13.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -6.9 (+5.1) | 146.7 (+13.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -7.1 (+4.9) | 147.4 (+12.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | SC 85 – 76 OU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OU 82 – 62 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#47) | 5.5 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#54) | 0.59 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#50) | 1.10 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#122) | 0.482 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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