Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SC +120 OU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SC -1.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -1.1 (+7.9) | 148.5 (+12.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -1.3 (+7.7) | 146.1 (+14.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -0.9 (+8.1) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -0.8 (+8.2) | 149.9 (+11.1) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | OU 86 – 74 SC |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OU 82 – 62 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#89) | 9.5 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#119) | 1.59 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#93) | 2.19 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#164) | 0.518 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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