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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–15 on winners spread MAE 10.5 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Michigan @ Louisville +23.0 155.7 90% 46–87 ✓
James Madison @ Florida International +4.0 149.6 68% 80–72 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Northern Kentucky +10.0 148.0 85% 71–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ The Citadel +3.1 155.7 71% 70–58 ✗
Kansas City @ Lindenwood +4.6 150.8 62% 67–80 ✓
NJIT @ Cincinnati +18.7 139.7 90% 67–94 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut +9.4 140.7 81% 106–108 ✓
Princeton @ Bradley +1.1 137.0 72% 64–88 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Florida Gulf Coast +12.1 155.3 86% 88–93 ✓
New Orleans @ Mississippi State +6.1 151.7 81% 78–81 ✓
Murray State @ McNeese +5.3 160.9 70% 60–73 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Illinois +25.4 161.8 91% 73–87 ✓
Auburn @ Oregon -5.3 147.4 26% 84–73 ✓
Yale @ Akron +0.9 154.6 52% 97–94 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Arkansas State +4.8 148.1 74% 63–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ Northern Arizona -1.2 145.9 40% 87–93 ✗
Radford @ SMU +21.9 157.8 90% 72–89 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri State +4.0 143.4 75% 75–61 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Loyola Marymount -1.2 142.5 38% 76–65 ✓
UTSA @ Abilene Christian -0.1 133.4 46% 50–61 ✗
Louisiana @ UC Davis +11.1 133.0 84% 56–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ Alabama -3.5 160.5 32% 95–85 ✓
Denver @ Arizona +21.3 147.2 90% 73–103 ✓
San Diego State @ Michigan +7.6 157.4 81% 54–94 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas +7.2 136.8 75% 87–86 ✗
UNLV @ Maryland +1.7 161.4 66% 67–74 ✓
Stony Brook @ Bethune-Cookman +3.3 144.7 61% 61–54 ✗
Towson @ Liberty +5.2 128.7 65% 72–69 ✗
Michigan State @ East Carolina -14.1 141.1 15% 89–56 ✓
Rutgers @ Notre Dame +7.1 138.1 79% 63–68 ✓
Pacific @ Jacksonville +0.6 131.3 57% 68–53 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Delaware +0.7 143.3 55% 60–73 ✓
Tulsa @ San José State -6.8 145.2 29% 81–51 ✓
Creighton @ Iowa State +9.9 148.6 80% 60–78 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Army -1.8 140.2 37% 84–67 ✓
NC State @ Boise State -1.4 146.3 49% 81–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Vermont +0.2 145.7 37% 80–65 ✗
Samford @ Georgia State -7.0 143.5 24% 78–63 ✓
Syracuse @ Kansas +4.1 139.1 72% 60–71 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +10.7 132.7 86% 59–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago -11.7 131.7 19% 72–51 ✓
St. John's @ Baylor -3.5 161.9 28% 96–81 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Oral Roberts -5.1 161.4 27% 83–91 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Ohio -8.6 141.9 25% 70–58 ✓
UC San Diego @ Bradley -2.7 141.1 36% 87–77 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ McNeese +8.0 144.5 77% 62–72 ✓
Seton Hall @ USC +1.7 144.3 63% 81–83 ✓
Tennessee @ Houston +1.6 129.2 51% 76–73 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ North Carolina +9.4 146.8 76% 70–85 ✓
Utah Valley @ South Dakota State +7.6 142.8 78% 75–52 ✗
Drexel @ Morgan State -2.6 140.3 41% 71–66 ✓
Tennessee State @ UNC Asheville +4.0 142.9 68% 75–73 ✗
William & Mary @ Abilene Christian -4.7 142.6 37% 92–58 ✓
San Diego @ California Baptist +10.6 136.9 86% 61–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Ohio State +21.9 142.5 90% 60–113 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.