Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | OHIO N/A LMU -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +12 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -12.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -8.6 (-3.4) | 141.9 (-13.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -7.3 (-4.7) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -7.4 (-4.6) | 141.5 (-13.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -6.6 (-5.4) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#281) | 5.3 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#293) | 3.04 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#273) | 3.85 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#205) | 0.550 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 41.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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