Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | UCD -100000 UL +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +21 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UCD -18.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -11.2 (+9.8) | 133.6 (-0.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCD -11.1 (+9.9) | 133.0 (+0.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCD -11.3 (+9.7) | 135.4 (-2.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -12.2 (+8.8) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#173) | -11.7 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#107) | -2.42 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#109) | -3.97 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#47) | 0.405 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 41.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.