Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | USC -285 HALL +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +2 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | USC -3.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -1.7 (+0.3) | 144.3 (+19.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -1.1 (+0.9) | 141.9 (+22.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -0.6 (+1.4) | 142.1 (+21.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -1.4 (+0.6) | 147.7 (+16.3) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2023 | USC 71 – 63 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#35) | 9.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#14) | 2.81 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#27) | 4.44 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.733 (#4) | 0.634 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 36.1% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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