Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -258 CREI +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -13.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -7.8 (+10.2) | 146.2 (-8.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -6.9 (+11.1) | 147.7 (-9.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -7.1 (+10.9) | 149.1 (-11.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -7.7 (+10.3) | 147.6 (-9.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2021 | ISU 64 – 58 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 18.2 (#6) | 4.9 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#32) | 0.79 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#45) | 1.34 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#83) | 0.586 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 40.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.