Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +6 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -0.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.7 (-9.7) | 140.2 (-18.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -2.0 (-8.0) | 139.1 (-17.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -2.6 (-8.6) | 138.9 (-16.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -2.3 (-8.3) | 138.9 (-16.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | ISU 78 – 60 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#106) | 8.8 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#41) | 3.61 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#44) | 5.97 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#56) | 0.580 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 26.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.5% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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