Betting Lines
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +12 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | CIT -3.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.4 (-48.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -3.1 (-15.1) | 155.7 (-27.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -3.1 (-15.1) | 160.4 (-32.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -3.1 (-15.1) | 161.1 (-33.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -4.3 (-16.3) | 158.9 (-30.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 83.3 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#340) | -9.3 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#325) | -2.05 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#325) | -2.83 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.300 (#362) | 0.461 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 24.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 67.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.