Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +320 KENN -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +8 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -7.3 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -5.1 (+13.1) | 161.4 (+12.6) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -4.9 (+12.9) | 158.2 (+15.8) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -4.2 (+12.2) | 155.6 (+18.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -5.0 (+13.0) | 162.0 (+12.0) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#293) | -0.4 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#312) | -0.28 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#292) | -0.66 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#199) | 0.432 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 45.0% |
Game Analysis
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