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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–6 on winners spread MAE 8.1 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Denver @ Nicholls — — — 91–85 —
Delaware @ Delaware State -11.1 136.6 13% 78–67 ✓
Canisius @ Cleveland State +8.4 142.9 86% 61–71 ✓
Richmond @ Boston College +5.0 146.8 77% 61–68 ✓
Coppin State @ Louisville — — — 41–61 —
Saint Peter's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -3.9 136.4 50% 70–71 ✗
Princeton @ Duquesne — — — 70–67 —
Utah Valley @ Charlotte — — — 45–62 —
South Carolina Upstate @ East Carolina — — — 83–81 —
Merrimack @ Ohio State +7.3 133.3 83% 52–76 ✓
Central Michigan @ South Florida — — — 68–63 —
Radford @ VCU +1.6 138.1 60% 50–73 ✓
Binghamton @ Loyola Maryland +6.3 142.1 73% 63–57 ✗
Cornell @ George Mason — — — 83–90 —
Evansville @ Southeast Missouri State — — — 76–57 —
Florida International @ Houston Christian — — — 83–74 —
Longwood @ Maryland Eastern Shore — — — 80–61 —
Eastern Illinois @ Illinois State — — — 61–69 —
Stony Brook @ Nebraska +17.5 140.7 90% 63–84 ✓
Georgetown @ Rutgers +8.9 135.0 80% 60–71 ✓
Rice @ Texas — — — 64–80 —
SE Louisiana @ BYU — — — 48–105 —
Tennessee State @ Portland — — — 75–65 —
Northern Arizona @ Seattle U — — — 62–60 —
Long Island University @ UCLA +23.6 131.2 90% 58–78 ✓
Pacific @ Nevada +15.1 144.8 88% 39–88 ✓
Morgan State @ Fresno State — — — 68–87 —
Charleston @ Vermont — — — 64–73 —
St. John's @ North Texas +4.0 140.5 53% 53–52 ✗
Saint Louis @ Wyoming — — — 79–69 —
Northwestern State @ Maine +1.5 137.2 63% 65–78 ✓
Dayton @ LSU +2.5 137.8 59% 70–67 ✗
Wichita State @ Coastal Carolina — — — 86–77 —
Denver @ SIU Edwardsville -6.8 139.8 23% 74–77 ✗
Oklahoma State @ St. Bonaventure -3.5 136.0 44% 64–66 ✗
Lindenwood @ Air Force +20.1 130.6 90% 58–76 ✓
Houston @ Towson -12.5 118.6 14% 65–49 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.