I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–8 on winners spread MAE 9.1 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina Upstate @ Campbell +3.0 139.3 63% 71–72 ✓
Iowa State @ Kansas +13.3 145.0 87% 64–97 ✓
Colorado @ Stanford -2.2 135.6 41% 69–51 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Francis +3.1 152.5 62% 70–67 ✗
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut -0.1 134.7 42% 62–46 ✓
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +2.4 127.4 63% 60–66 ✓
Texas State @ UT Arlington -0.0 127.4 42% 63–56 ✓
Troy @ South Alabama +5.3 134.9 70% 70–73 ✓
Weber State @ Montana -3.1 141.0 35% 67–80 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Montana State -0.1 147.4 42% 93–77 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona +9.6 135.9 85% 61–70 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +8.5 137.8 80% 72–66 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Jacksonville State +8.7 141.7 80% 64–76 ✓
Oregon @ Arizona State -2.3 150.4 34% 75–64 ✓
Fresno State @ Air Force -3.3 125.1 27% 69–63 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech +0.1 136.1 43% 81–63 ✗
Morehead State @ Tennessee State -7.1 131.9 21% 79–66 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Belmont +9.6 162.4 81% 74–92 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State +9.3 127.1 83% 43–69 ✓
USC @ Washington -12.7 145.5 16% 69–54 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +10.6 137.9 87% 66–78 ✓
UCLA @ Washington State -3.1 134.9 41% 73–81 ✗
UIC @ IU Indianapolis +0.1 142.2 60% 69–89 ✓
Canisius @ Quinnipiac +1.0 138.4 50% 74–67 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +0.3 127.9 50% 71–78 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Francis +3.1 151.6 63% 66–80 ✓
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +2.5 127.5 64% 46–64 ✓
Presbyterian @ Hampton +1.3 132.0 55% 57–62 ✓
Manhattan @ Iona +8.5 132.1 80% 67–85 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +5.3 147.8 72% 70–84 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -1.1 143.0 44% 82–86 ✗
Stetson @ Kennesaw State -3.4 130.8 33% 74–61 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +8.7 134.3 73% 69–68 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Murray State +7.7 132.5 78% 60–80 ✓
North Florida @ Liberty +13.2 137.2 86% 61–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall +13.8 143.5 87% 79–107 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Davis +6.7 154.4 83% 66–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.