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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–9 on winners spread MAE 8.1 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ South Florida -10.4 130.7 17% 82–65 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech -1.9 130.7 39% 57–49 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -2.5 134.4 43% 76–52 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Drake +12.7 139.3 87% 59–80 ✓
Wake Forest @ Boston College +0.2 139.5 50% 69–65 ✗
Wichita State @ UCF +0.2 146.5 50% 61–60 ✗
Fordham @ George Mason +8.7 129.1 79% 45–77 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford +3.9 140.7 67% 78–66 ✗
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel -4.3 150.5 33% 71–79 ✗
VMI @ Western Carolina -2.0 153.7 45% 72–74 ✗
Rutgers @ Iowa +6.4 152.6 77% 66–79 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin +12.6 140.2 86% 68–80 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Sam Houston +10.2 143.2 84% 61–79 ✓
Georgia @ Tennessee +10.7 142.8 84% 81–89 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Missouri State +6.9 135.4 78% 53–65 ✓
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +2.5 141.7 56% 68–67 ✗
Houston Christian @ Abilene Christian +17.8 147.3 89% 59–88 ✓
Nicholls @ Lamar -6.8 146.8 23% 76–71 ✓
Mercer @ Samford -1.5 151.9 41% 77–70 ✓
Marquette @ Villanova +9.5 137.4 84% 64–96 ✓
Missouri @ Ole Miss +1.2 133.2 58% 59–80 ✓
Rhode Island @ Saint Louis +5.9 138.4 77% 60–67 ✓
LSU @ Mississippi State +0.8 147.4 60% 94–80 ✗
Wisconsin @ Nebraska -8.0 133.9 24% 61–48 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +21.8 147.1 91% 55–77 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood -0.2 129.7 46% 54–57 ✗
UT Martin @ Austin Peay +11.2 138.6 85% 50–71 ✓
Purdue @ Minnesota +0.2 136.1 58% 68–71 ✓
Portland @ Pacific +13.4 148.5 87% 57–84 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner +3.2 145.2 67% 72–76 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +9.2 134.5 80% 73–77 ✓
Utah @ California -3.0 131.4 35% 76–75 ✓
Winthrop @ Radford -1.7 139.5 42% 80–64 ✓
Presbyterian @ Hampton +2.9 132.3 56% 85–70 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State +7.5 141.0 74% 75–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.