Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -400 URI +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -7.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -6.2 (+0.8) | 141.4 (-14.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -5.9 (+1.1) | 138.4 (-11.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -6.6 (+0.4) | 142.8 (-15.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -6.1 (+0.9) | 141.3 (-14.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SLU 81 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SLU 74 – 71 URI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SLU 94 – 91 URI |
| Feb 8, 2023 | SLU 76 – 71 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 7-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 1-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#37) | 6.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#72) | 0.72 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#67) | 1.47 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#112) | 0.513 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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