Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -120 VMI +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -2.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -1.8 (+3.8) | 156.7 (-10.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -2.0 (+4.0) | 153.7 (-7.7) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -2.1 (+4.1) | 155.9 (-9.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -2.1 (+4.1) | 155.5 (-9.5) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WCU 81 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WCU 88 – 58 VMI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VMI 80 – 76 WCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 4-13 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#235) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#230) | -0.03 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#225) | -0.15 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#227) | 0.496 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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