Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | GAST -250 GASO +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -9.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -8.7 (-4.7) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -7.5 (-3.5) | 141.0 (+13.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -8.5 (-4.5) | 142.1 (+11.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -8.7 (-4.7) | 141.9 (+12.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | GAST 66 – 64 GASO |
| Dec 19, 2025 | GASO 90 – 67 GAST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GAST 80 – 71 GASO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GASO 76 – 75 GAST |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GAST 82 – 78 GASO |
Game Analysis
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