Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LONG +140 GWEB -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +3 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -0.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -0.6 (+3.6) | 132.5 (-21.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -0.2 (+3.2) | 129.7 (-18.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -0.7 (+3.7) | 132.8 (-21.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -0.9 (+3.9) | 133.6 (-22.6) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | LONG 86 – 66 GWEB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | LONG 91 – 56 GWEB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | LONG 90 – 77 GWEB |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GWEB 92 – 87 LONG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | GWEB 72 – 69 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 11-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#247) | -2.0 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#308) | -1.69 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#294) | -1.83 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#283) | 0.449 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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