Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP -150 PRES +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +15 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | HAMP -5.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -2.9 (-17.9) | 132.3 (+22.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -3.6 (-18.6) | 131.3 (+23.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -4.0 (-19.0) | 131.6 (+23.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -3.6 (-18.6) | 133.5 (+21.5) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2022 | HAMP 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 27, 2021 | HAMP 67 – 65 PRES |
| Feb 12, 2021 | HAMP 62 – 57 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#287) | -10.5 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#284) | -2.32 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#301) | -2.70 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#289) | 0.378 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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