Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -3.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -3.8 (+8.8) | 129.9 (+13.1) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -2.8 (+7.8) | 130.8 (+12.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -2.5 (+7.5) | 131.9 (+11.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -2.3 (+7.3) | 129.6 (+13.4) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2021 | HAMP 67 – 65 PRES |
| Feb 12, 2021 | HAMP 62 – 57 PRES |
| Feb 11, 2021 | PRES 85 – 70 HAMP |
Game Analysis
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