Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP -120 PRES +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +5 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -2.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -1.3 (+3.7) | 132.0 (-13.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -1.4 (+3.6) | 135.2 (-16.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -1.7 (+3.3) | 135.1 (-16.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -2.0 (+3.0) | 135.5 (-16.5) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2022 | HAMP 74 – 69 PRES |
| Feb 27, 2021 | HAMP 67 – 65 PRES |
| Feb 11, 2021 | PRES 85 – 70 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#298) | -9.2 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#302) | -2.02 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#312) | -2.36 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#308) | 0.402 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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