Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +250 NICH -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -8.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -8.6 (+3.6) | 144.8 (+2.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.8 (+1.8) | 146.8 (+0.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -7.6 (+2.6) | 148.9 (-1.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -8.1 (+3.1) | 145.9 (+1.1) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NICH 53 – 52 LAM |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAM 90 – 80 NICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAM 58 – 55 NICH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 53 NICH |
| Jan 20, 2025 | LAM 78 – 74 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-18 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 5-5 | 8-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#332) | -2.1 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#324) | -0.22 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#327) | -0.50 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#323) | 0.469 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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