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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–7 on winners
spread MAE 6.9
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penn State
@
Michigan State
|
-2.4 | 141.0 | 44% | 58–60 | ✗ |
Arkansas
@
Kentucky
|
-3.0 | 145.5 | 36% | 81–80 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Bowling Green
|
-2.2 | 155.9 | 44% | 71–67 | ✓ |
Texas
@
Kansas State
|
-10.8 | 136.4 | 16% | 80–77 | ✓ |
Auburn
@
Vanderbilt
|
-1.8 | 153.1 | 49% | 73–67 | ✓ |
West Virginia
@
Texas Tech
|
+4.2 | 141.3 | 68% | 82–71 | ✗ |
Creighton
@
Georgetown
|
-3.2 | 145.9 | 38% | 63–48 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
Butler
|
-1.7 | 140.2 | 45% | 73–76 | ✗ |
Iowa State
@
TCU
|
+6.4 | 142.5 | 77% | 76–79 | ✓ |
UConn
@
Providence
|
-0.8 | 132.4 | 49% | 59–70 | ✗ |
Pepperdine
@
San Francisco
|
+4.6 | 147.5 | 69% | 76–68 | ✗ |
Tulane
@
Tulsa
|
+4.9 | 129.4 | 66% | 58–48 | ✗ |
Furman
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+1.6 | 138.5 | 64% | 58–64 | ✓ |
Indiana
@
Northwestern
|
-1.1 | 142.1 | 44% | 79–76 | ✓ |
Old Dominion
@
Charlotte
|
+1.1 | 125.8 | 53% | 78–76 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.