Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | KSU +900 TEX -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -15.8 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -12.8 (+9.8) | 139.8 (+17.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -10.8 (+7.8) | 136.4 (+20.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -12.7 (+9.7) | 139.0 (+18.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -13.2 (+10.2) | 140.9 (+16.1) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | KSU 78 – 74 TEX |
| Feb 20, 2024 | TEX 62 – 56 KSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | TEX 69 – 66 KSU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | KSU 116 – 103 TEX |
| Jan 19, 2022 | KSU 66 – 65 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-6 |
| Home | 6-12 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-7 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#240) | 13.8 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#227) | 2.82 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#237) | 3.92 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#226) | 0.614 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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