Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +240 AUB -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -4.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -3.2 (-2.8) | 157.3 (-17.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -1.8 (-4.2) | 153.1 (-13.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -3.4 (-2.6) | 155.6 (-15.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -3.7 (-2.3) | 156.8 (-16.8) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | VAN 84 – 76 AUB |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AUB 80 – 68 VAN |
| Feb 1, 2024 | AUB 81 – 54 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | AUB 80 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 19, 2023 | VAN 67 – 65 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#133) | 9.1 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#193) | 1.21 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#161) | 1.84 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#254) | 0.544 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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