Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NU +150 IU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -2.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -0.8 (-2.2) | 141.7 (+13.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -1.1 (-1.9) | 142.1 (+12.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -0.8 (-2.2) | 143.9 (+11.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -0.6 (-2.4) | 140.6 (+14.4) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NU 74 – 61 IU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | NU 72 – 68 IU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | NU 79 – 70 IU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NU 76 – 72 IU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | NU 64 – 62 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 6-13 | 7-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#75) | 12.8 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#86) | 1.93 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#65) | 2.88 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#183) | 0.539 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.