Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -225 WVU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -4.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -5.2 (-16.2) | 143.4 (+9.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -4.2 (-15.2) | 141.3 (+11.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -5.3 (-16.3) | 144.3 (+8.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -5.3 (-16.3) | 144.0 (+9.0) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | TTU 70 – 63 WVU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TTU 73 – 51 WVU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | TTU 81 – 70 WVU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | WVU 78 – 62 TTU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TTU 78 – 72 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 11-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#14) | 12.9 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#13) | 2.91 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#12) | 3.56 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#38) | 0.644 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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