Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | GTWN +300 CREI -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +15 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -5.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-41.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -3.7 (-11.3) | 148.7 (-37.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.2 (-11.8) | 145.9 (-34.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -3.6 (-11.4) | 150.5 (-39.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -3.6 (-11.4) | 148.9 (-37.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | GTWN 76 – 68 CREI |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CREI 86 – 83 GTWN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CREI 80 – 69 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2024 | GTWN 81 – 57 CREI |
| Feb 14, 2024 | CREI 94 – 72 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#103) | 13.4 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#105) | 2.24 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#108) | 2.99 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#140) | 0.548 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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