Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BC +130 WAKE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -1.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -1.0 (-5.0) | 144.6 (-10.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -0.2 (-4.2) | 139.5 (-5.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -0.2 (-4.2) | 141.5 (-7.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -0.4 (-4.4) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BC 68 – 67 WAKE |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 66 BC |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WAKE 84 – 78 BC |
| Mar 1, 2023 | BC 71 – 69 WAKE |
| Jan 15, 2023 | WAKE 85 – 63 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-16 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 2-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 3-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 0-7 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#140) | 5.0 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#203) | 0.05 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#163) | 0.21 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#243) | 0.458 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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