Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +110 NWST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -3.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -2.6 (-3.6) | 144.3 (-9.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -2.5 (-3.5) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -3.2 (-4.2) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -2.5 (-3.5) | 143.3 (-8.3) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-14 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#302) | -10.3 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#325) | -2.46 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#330) | -3.45 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#308) | 0.420 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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