Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -333 CHSO +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -11.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -10.2 (-6.2) | 135.3 (+14.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -9.2 (-5.2) | 134.5 (+15.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -10.8 (-6.8) | 135.8 (+14.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -10.3 (-6.3) | 135.3 (+14.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HPU 84 – 82 CHSO |
| Feb 20, 2025 | HPU 83 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | HPU 93 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | HPU 74 – 59 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 3-18 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 2-15 |
| Home | 5-5 | 1-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#248) | -14.1 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#289) | -4.55 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#288) | -5.85 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#257) | 0.367 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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