Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | CAL +188 UTAH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +1 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -5.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -3.3 (+2.3) | 134.4 (+16.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -3.0 (+2.0) | 131.4 (+19.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -4.2 (+3.2) | 134.7 (+16.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -4.2 (+3.2) | 134.5 (+16.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | CAL 79 – 72 UTAH |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UTAH 88 – 59 CAL |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UTAH 61 – 46 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTAH 58 – 43 CAL |
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 12-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#163) | 7.8 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#182) | 0.89 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#172) | 1.54 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#213) | 0.528 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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