Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NEB +550 WIS -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +13 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -10.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -8.2 (-4.8) | 137.5 (-28.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -8.0 (-5.0) | 133.9 (-24.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -9.4 (-3.6) | 137.4 (-28.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -9.7 (-3.3) | 138.0 (-29.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | NEB 90 – 60 WIS |
| Jan 26, 2025 | WIS 83 – 55 NEB |
| Feb 2, 2024 | NEB 80 – 72 WIS |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIS 88 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NEB 73 – 63 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-20 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 3-16 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#133) | 14.6 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#216) | 2.57 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#183) | 3.70 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#219) | 0.581 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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