Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -600 SELA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -13.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -11.9 (+6.1) | 144.8 (-4.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -10.2 (+7.8) | 143.2 (-3.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -12.0 (+6.0) | 145.1 (-5.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -12.3 (+5.7) | 144.5 (-4.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2021 | SHSU 70 – 52 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 8-18 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 5-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 3-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#192) | -12.5 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#98) | -1.89 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#129) | -2.93 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#69) | 0.432 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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