That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Southland Conference · University Center · January 7, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -4.0 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total SELA win
Actual SHSU +18 122 Lost
Massey SHSU -1.8 (-16.2) — —
Massey Totals — 142.9 (-20.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 12% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -1.5 (-16.5) 142.9 (-20.9) 40% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -0.6 (-17.4) 144.0 (-22.0) 42% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -1.1 (-16.9) 145.7 (-23.7) 43% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -1.0 (-17.0) 144.1 (-22.1) 43% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2021 SHSU 79 – 61 SELA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SELA SHSU
Overall 8-18 19-9
Conference 5-10 13-3
Home 3-4 12-1
Away 4-13 7-6
Neutral 1-1 0-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 68.3 74.5
Avg Pts Against 77.7 72.9
Massey -9.1 (#297) -4.0 (#238)
Bradley-Terry -1.59 (#279) 0.93 (#103)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.57 (#296) 1.06 (#115)
RPI 0.432 (#252) 0.606 (#39)
Shooting & Four Factors SELA SHSU
FG% 37.5% 38.7%
3PT% 26.2% 33.3%
REB / G 34.7 34.5
OREB / G 13.4 11.2
AST / TO 0.64 0.66
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.7% 44.8%
TOV% 23.1% 23.3%
ORB% 32.6% 28.0%
FT Rate 23.8% 24.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 22.5% 21.3%
DRB% 66.8% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 30.7% 29.8%

Game Analysis

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