Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -450 UNI +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +21 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -15.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -13.0 (+8.0) | 147.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -12.7 (+8.3) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -14.8 (+6.2) | 144.4 (-5.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -14.5 (+6.5) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNI 75 – 53 DRKE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNI 86 – 62 DRKE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | DRKE 64 – 58 UNI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | DRKE 66 – 52 UNI |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UNI 91 – 77 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#35) | -1.3 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#18) | -0.53 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#48) | -0.51 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#82) | 0.495 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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