Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -275 RUTG +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -8.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -7.2 (+5.8) | 152.6 (-7.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -6.4 (+6.6) | 152.6 (-7.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -7.6 (+5.4) | 155.8 (-10.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.8 (+6.2) | 150.9 (-5.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | IOWA 68 – 62 RUTG |
| Feb 12, 2025 | IOWA 84 – 73 RUTG |
| Jan 6, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 RUTG |
| Jan 29, 2023 | IOWA 93 – 82 RUTG |
| Jan 8, 2023 | IOWA 76 – 65 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#5) | 12.8 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#23) | 2.47 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#10) | 3.46 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#65) | 0.591 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.04 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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