Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | PAC -1600 PORT +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +27 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -16.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -13.6 (+13.4) | 147.5 (-6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -13.4 (+13.6) | 148.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -14.3 (+12.7) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -14.6 (+12.4) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | PAC 74 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | PORT 90 – 89 PAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | PORT 81 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PORT 84 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 2, 2024 | PORT 65 – 60 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 6-7 | 0-11 |
| Home | 6-2 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 85.1 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#146) | -13.2 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#86) | -1.40 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#106) | -2.31 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#63) | 0.425 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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